CEORG March 2003 Omnibus Survey on EU Accession Referenda in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia

According to the latest poll on the accession to the EU, conducted by the Central European Opinion Research Group Foundation (CEORG) in March 2003, the support for the accession of their country to the EU among the Polish, Czech and Hungarian citizens should be sufficient for the upcoming referenda on EU membership to be successful. In all countries the overall support for EU accession is over 50%, namely 58.1% in Poland, 58.9% in the Czech Republic, and 59.9% in Hungary. In Slovakia only those that plan to come to referendum were asked about their support.

Among those who are definitely planning to participate or are rather inclined to participate in the referendum, the support to EU accession is even stronger; between 68.8% in Poland to 82.2% in Slovakia. It is interesting to note the narrowing of differences in EU support among the potential referenda participants between the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland since the CEORG research in November 2002. At that time, the Czech Republic had 20 percent points less EU supporters than Hungary and Poland, namely Czech Republic 51.1%, Poland 73.5% and Hungary 75.1%. Four months later, the difference between the three countries is as low as 1.8 percent point.

The biggest question is the real participation at the referendum. 66.1% of Hungarian and 62.4% of Polish respondents claim to be ready to definitely participate in the referendum. In the Czech Republic, only 40.2% and in Slovakia 40.1% of respondents have this level of certainty. If those that will certainly participate and those that will rather participate are put together, in all four countries the participation would reach over 70%.

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