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The Attitudes to Nato Membership

February 2000

› Excerpt from “Central European Public Opinion”, a special issue of “Polish Public Opinion”, created and published by CBOS

Since the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland joined NATO, the predominantly positive attitude of their societies to this organisation has basically remained unchanged. As with a year ago, the support for NATO membership is the lowest in the Czech Republic. Furthermore, the belief that NATO membership strengthens the position of a country on the international scene and secures peace and safety for the country is significantly weaker in the Czech Republic than in Poland and Hungary. As compared to the others, the Czechs are particularly afraid that their membership in NATO will increase the possibility that their country may become involved in an armed conflict.

During the last year we have noted a visible change of the opinion of Poles concerning political aspects of NATO membership. A year ago the Poles’ opinion on consequences of joining NATO was divided and the percentage of respondents who believed that NATO membership was a guarantee for independence was equal to the percentage of those who regarded it as a new form of submission to a foreign power. Now most respondents share the former view. A similar change of opinion, although on a much smaller scale, may be noticed in Hungary, while in the Czech Republic the evaluations are even more polarised now than before. The evolution of opinion in Poland and Hungary seems to be connected first and foremost to the perception of the goals of Russian politics. A definite majority of Poles (60%) and a large proportion of Hungarians (44%) believe that Russia will try to rebuild its sphere of influence in our part of Europe in the near future.

DO YOU PERSONALLY SUPPORT THE MEMBERSHIP OF POLAND/THE CZECH REPUBLIC/HUNGARY IN NATO OR NOT?

Most respondents in Poland (55%), the Czech Republic (59%) and Hungary (54%) share the opinion that foreign NATO troops should not be stationed in their countries. The Hungarians would accept the presence of the allied troops on their territory the most frequently (40%).

The Poles are the strongest supporters of further NATO extension to the East. Over half of respondents support the admission of other Central and Eastern European countries that emerged after the collapse of the former socialist bloc. The possible admission of Slovakia and Lithuania enjoys the widest support among Poles.

WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS IS CLOSEST TO YOUR VIEW ON THE MEMBERSHIP OF POLAND/ THE CZECH REPUBLIC/ HUNGARY IN NATO?

Hungarians are less enthusiastic than Poles about the prospect of further extension of NATO, but the supporters of its extension outnumber the opponents in that country as well. The Czechs are the least in favour of the admission of other countries to NATO. Only the admission of Slovakia is accepted by most of them.

IN YOUR OPINION, WOULD IT BE GOOD IF THE FOLLOWING COUNTRIES JOINED NATO?

(Percentages of positive answers)

An additional question was asked in Poland, whether it would be good if two currently neutral countries, namely Austria and Finland, join NATO. The support for possible Finnish membership (69%) is much stronger than for the Austrian one (51%).